Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 16.486366 19.208974 22.170310 25.621471 29.523479 33.788768 38.793989
2025-02-16 11.523154 15.163670 19.535400 25.126713 32.037960 40.247724 50.679431
2025-02-23 8.667512 12.600141 17.714051 24.748222 34.053805 45.811838 61.640326
2025-03-02 6.851141 10.855188 16.427471 24.571128 35.957758 51.073494 72.366963
2025-03-09 5.550205 9.508498 15.362130 24.384791 37.617537 55.935703 82.739487
2025-03-16 4.250160 7.880065 13.583837 22.846846 37.072589 57.565720 88.640857
2025-03-23 3.732355 7.385798 13.417373 23.631422 39.898965 64.072857 101.752084
2025-03-30 3.372261 7.083768 13.492094 24.758223 43.287710 71.581216 116.746304
2025-04-06 2.800948 6.288496 12.615232 24.200387 43.924664 74.925904 125.674932
2025-04-13 2.245492 5.408360 11.449813 22.986024 43.328815 76.244922 131.497506
2025-04-20 2.088472 5.299434 11.669545 24.208680 46.883977 84.340045 148.336380
2025-04-27 2.006730 5.334022 12.159398 25.956372 51.456860 94.335224 168.714289
2025-05-04 1.748265 4.947922 11.811950 26.183762 53.518340 100.557048 183.768758
2025-05-11 1.491829 4.515377 11.316136 26.088376 55.028496 106.025524 198.058072
2025-05-18 1.259300 4.084054 10.750825 25.775589 56.087526 110.762790 211.375989
2025-05-25 1.074103 3.727586 10.289042 25.607137 57.382089 115.965746 225.749914
2025-06-01 0.916523 3.404412 9.847336 25.416930 58.595542 121.069249 240.195743
2025-06-08 0.712809 2.882639 8.831443 23.823584 56.824550 120.545354 244.579089
2025-06-15 0.652048 2.790306 8.876072 24.636870 60.059777 129.561436 266.625192
2025-06-22 0.611715 2.755311 9.064550 25.804543 64.125971 140.379071 292.482418
2025-06-29 0.511148 2.478515 8.552319 25.226521 64.389563 143.852557 304.875916
2025-07-06 0.405628 2.142771 7.807130 23.967970 63.030532 144.024650 311.029336
2025-07-13 0.386878 2.143182 8.044106 25.235115 67.433878 155.948936 340.156824